Dan E., who is a good friend and part of the @U2 staff, wrote this up after making some observations about the process used to determine who gets into the bomb shelter and who doesn’t. Dan has a scientific background, and is a keen observer of things, so there’s pretty much no one I’d trust more to do this kind of thing.
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I spent about 1 hour standing next to the GA entrance area last night in San Diego and learned a few things regarding ellipse entry that I thought I’d share.
* As usual, you get a primary GA wristband upon entry to the arena.
* The “ellipse” process is controlled by 4 PC laptop computers with attached barcode scanners.
* Local security run the barcode scanners, but U2 tour personnel do all of the stamping of tickets for ellpise entry. In addition to “U2 roadies” doing the stamping, there are a few other “U2 supervisors” on scene. You know the type, well dressed and enough laminates to cause back trouble.
* As mentioned elsewhere, once you win, and your ticket is stamped, you are sent to a second table for a second color coded wristband. For example, San Diego II’s wristband combo was pink GA wristband with green and white checkered ellipse wristband.
* The ellipse “winner” is NOT predetermined based on your ticket barcode. In other words, it has NOT already been determined before you arrive that you ticket is in fact a winner. Winning is based randomly on your position in the GA line as you enter. This was confirmed by the “U2 Supervisors” and by observation.
* The number of people the ellipse holds is appoximately 400. I had this confirmed by the “U2 supervisor” running the GA area last night. This will vary depending on local fire codes, and the number of VIPs that get access to the ellipse.
* The odds of getting into the ellipse are about 1 in 5. However, since each “winner” gets to take ONE guest, about 1 in 10 people should be “winners” on average.
* I watched over 200 people go through one particular scanner, and in fact, about 1 in 10 to about 1 in 12 people seemed to be “winners” of the coveted extra wristband.
* The process appeared truly random (technically pseudo-random since most computers don’t actually do real random numbers). I noticed that MOST winners were every 10th to 14th person at a given scanner/laptop. There were also clusters of winners happening closer together. For example, once two “winners” were only 4 people apart, other times, more than 14 apart.
* The two wristbands per “winner” rule was strictly enforced, however, I did see the “U2 supervisor” on scene make a small number of exceptions and let in 3’s when people clearly explained that one person would be left behind. This did not happen very often and only when the winners complained and asked to speak to somebody directly.
* There was little if any “sweet talking” of the U2 security folks. Many people tried, I saw none succeed at the table where I was standing. Money didn’t seem to help either, based on a few drunk losers that I saw try.
* People were “winning” up until just before U2 went on stage. Second wrist bands were being given out until 10 minutes before U2 hit the stage last night.
* If you do not win upon entry, there is a slim chance you can still get into the ellipse. According to the U2 supervisor running the GA area last night, they do a count just before the lights go down. If they feel they are short, say, 20 people, they grab people from the STAGE RIGHT barricade entrance to the ellipse (Edge’s Side).
* I saw very little “corruption” of the process. One guy and his girlfriend snuck through because security was too busy to notice. Probably a few more people got by as well. At the end, the U2 folks grabbed a few extra wristbands and took them (maybe to give out on the floor, maybe to give to friends). Otherwise, it looked about as fair as it could be under the circumstances.
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Thanks Dan!